Automotive Innovation ›› 2018, Vol. 1 ›› Issue (1): 15-23.doi: 10.1007/s42154-018-0010-3
典型车企CAFC和NEV双积分法规达标策略分析
Tsinghua Automotive Strategy Research Institute, State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Analysis of Typical Automakers’ Strategies for Meeting the Dual-Credit Regulations Regarding CAFC and NEVs
Tsinghua Automotive Strategy Research Institute, State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
摘要：
The
parallel corporate average fuel consumption (CAFC) and new energy vehicle (NEV)
credit schemes that have been introduced by the Ministry of Industry and
Information Technology of China is an innovative attempt to simultaneously
regulate conventional gasoline vehicles (CGVs) and NEVs in the passenger
vehicle sector that is expected to function as a long-term management mechanism
for CGVs to be more energy-efficient and NEVs to be well-promoted. This will
have a significant impact on trends in China’s automotive industry and automakers’ business decisions. Taking the cases of
four typical automakers with different levels of
average fuel economy in their CGVs and advanced NEV production,
scenario analysis has been applied to generate these automakers’ alternatives in relation to compliance with the
dual-credit regulations in force from 2017 to 2020 based on the Interim
Measures on the Joint Management of CAFC and NEV Credits (Draft). These
automakers’ alternative approaches to compliance are compared. Further, in view
of the financial losses as a result of halted production if they fail to
comply, the values of CAFC and NEV credits and corresponding influencing
factors are analyzed from the automakers’ perspective.
Finally, the most cost-effective compliance strategies for these automakers are
summarized and suggested improvements in the regulations are proposed for the
government.